I just posted this reply to
Leighton Andrews' Blog. I disagree with his analysis of what went wrong in Blaenau.
I think the problem is much deeper than a sympathy vote for trish law. I sense a real anger in the country about Labour's direction. No-one (sensible) would go back to the days of Militant and the Bennite purism of "resolutionary Socialism" but trade unionists, and those of us who have tried to argue for policies which are centered on protecting communities feel badly let down - despite the very real gains made (near full employment, creating asbos etc)
Elected members and party employees are increasingly seen as an out of touch, arogant and uncaring bunch of middle managers. An example (sorry to harp on about one of my pet issues) is your recent "joke" about Welsh speakers driving up house prices in Pontcanna. Yes its a bit of fun to take an easy swipe at the sillier Nats, but such "jokes" belittle people facing very real hardships, and stir up bad feeling between non-welsh speakers and welsh speakers.
I have no doubt that the assembly campaign will yet again be a slanging match that sets up "Language Ethnicity" as an issue.
This however is merely the final straw. What with Iraq, Blair's renaging on the Warick agreement, Pfi, the home office, NHS, and letting Prescott (who now has as much credibility as Ron Davies -rip) hang on as a fig leaf for Blair, I've finally cancelled my Direct Debit to the Party - I'm only a member till the middle of July Now.
I still consider myself part of the Labour Movement. But I feel that a an inactive member I'm doing a greater service to the Party by being part of the "haemoraging membership".
I want to be free to say that the best thing that can happen to the Labour Party now is a disaster in the Assembly elections, which will be a spur to genuine renewal. - that's not code for Brown by the way, I want to see a proper contest that deals with the real issues.